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4 Ideas From A Downtown Pro

There is a version of the housing market story that gets told over and over, and it goes like this: prices are high, rates are high, nothing is affordable, and the only people buying are the ones with cash. That version is not wrong, exactly. It is just incomplete.

Home prices at the national level have held close to their peaks despite a sharp rise in mortgage rates. The reason is supply. Homeowners who locked in three percent mortgages in 2020 and 2021 have almost no incentive to sell, which means the correction that many analysts were expecting simply did not materialize the way the data suggested it should.

Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. That measure being at a historical extreme does not automatically produce a correction. What it means, practically, is that the buyer who can close confidently has more leverage than the headline numbers suggest.

Before you look at a single listing, get your financing fully sorted. Not a rough estimate. Not a verbal confirmation from a loan officer you met once. A full pre-approval based on verified income, tax returns, bank statements, and a hard credit pull. In this market, a seller who receives an offer without that documentation will not take it seriously.

The appraisal is the lender’s check, not yours. If the home appraises below the contract price, the lender will only finance against the appraised value. Ask your agent whether recent comparable sales support the price you are offering.

The offer price is one variable among several. A longer closing window, a shorter inspection period, a larger earnest money deposit, or willingness to do a rent-back period can all tip a deal in your favor without you spending an extra dollar on the purchase price.

The timing question, whether to buy now or wait for rates to come down, is the one that trips up more buyers than any other single factor. Waiting for the perfect moment is how people end up renting for another five years when they did not mean to. The more useful question is not whether now is the right time in the abstract; it is whether the home works for your actual life for the next five to seven years.

Real estate rewards preparation more than it rewards timing. The market does not wait for the ideal moment, and neither should buyers who have done the work. Check up-to-date property listings and see whether what is available matches what you have been planning for.